Florida Medicaid Planning

Your Long-Term Care Premium Just Doubled. Now What?

Quick Answer

There is no single right answer when a long-term care premium spikes. The decision depends on your health, your assets, how much you've already paid in, and whether you build a Medicaid backup plan regardless of what you decide about the policy.

By Arthur Simpson, Esq. · FL Bar #529265 Florida Elder Law Attorney September 24, 2026
Your Long-Term Care Premium Just Doubled. Now What?

Herb and Judy's Letter in the Mail

Herb and Judy are a composite couple I use to illustrate a situation I see often in my practice, not actual clients, but their numbers are typical of what's landing in mailboxes across Ponte Vedra Beach and the rest of Florida this year. They're 72 and 70. They bought a long-term care policy back in 2004, back when premiums were priced low and insurers didn't yet understand how long people would live or how much home care and memory care would eventually cost. Their renewal notice just arrived: premium jumping to $9,800 a year, combined, for a policy they've paid into for over two decades.

Their first instinct is panic. Their second instinct, once they calm down, is the right question: keep paying, reduce the benefit to lower the cost, or let it lapse and build a Medicaid plan instead. All three are legitimate choices. None of them is automatically correct. What follows is the framework I walk clients like Herb and Judy through.

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Why the Premium Doubled, and Why It's Legal

Florida families are often stunned to learn that an insurer can raise the price of a policy they've held for twenty years. Here's the mechanic: most traditional long-term care policies are guaranteed renewable, not guaranteed level-premium. That means the carrier cannot cancel your policy, single you out, or raise your rate because you got older or filed a claim. But it can request a class-wide rate increase, approved by state insurance regulators, applied to everyone who holds that same policy series.

These increases have become common industry-wide because insurers in the early 2000s underpriced these policies. They assumed higher lapse rates and lower claims than actually happened. Carriers exiting the long-term care market entirely, and steep systemic rate hikes, are the result. Herb and Judy's letter isn't a mistake or a targeted penalty. It's the industry catching up to reality on a policy written before anyone had good data.

Option One: Keep Paying, and the Questions That Justify It

Keeping the policy in force makes the most sense when the numbers and the health picture line up. Before writing that $9,800 check, I'd want Herb and Judy to answer:

If the answers favor keeping it, in my practice I still recommend pairing the policy with a Medicaid backup plan. Insurance and Medicaid planning are not competitors. They're two tools that work best together, which I'll come back to below.

Option Two: Reduce the Benefit Instead of Dropping the Policy

Most carriers facing a rate increase are required to offer policyholders a menu of ways to lower the premium by reducing coverage, rather than forcing an all-or-nothing choice. Common versions include:

This is often the middle path for a couple like Herb and Judy: keep meaningful coverage in force, at a premium that's sustainable, even if the benefit is smaller than what they originally bought. It preserves the policy's core value, an insurance-funded bridge for home care or assisted living, while bringing the annual cost back down to earth.

Option Three: Let It Lapse and Plan for Medicaid

Sometimes the honest answer is that the policy has become unaffordable, the benefit cap is too thin to matter, or health has changed enough that a smaller reduced-benefit version isn't worth keeping. In that case, the responsible move isn't to simply drop the policy and hope. It's to drop the policy and start Medicaid planning in its place, deliberately and early.

⚠ Timing Matters Florida Medicaid applies a five-year lookback period to certain asset transfers made before an application for long-term care benefits. If a policy lapses today, that does not create an emergency, but it is a strong signal to begin organizing assets, titling, and any gifting strategy well before care is actually needed, since last-minute planning has far fewer options.

Letting a policy lapse doesn't mean giving up on protecting assets. It means shifting the tool from private insurance to a legal and financial planning strategy built around Florida's Medicaid rules, ideally started years, not months, before a nursing home level of care becomes necessary.

How Insurance and Medicaid Planning Work Together, Not Against Each Other

This is the piece families most often miss. Long-term care insurance and Medicaid planning aren't rival strategies where you pick one and abandon the other. They solve different problems on different timelines.

A private policy can pay for home care, an aide, or assisted living during the years before someone needs full nursing-home-level care, which is generally the threshold for Medicaid's long-term care benefit. That means insurance buys time: time for a family to plan properly, time for assets to be positioned correctly, time to avoid a crisis-mode decision. Then, if care needs escalate to nursing-home level and the policy's benefits run out or were never designed to cover that level indefinitely, Medicaid can step in as the long-term backstop.

Florida also has a specific program built for exactly this handoff. The Florida Long-Term Care Partnership Program allows certain state-certified policies to earn a dollar-for-dollar asset disregard for Medicaid eligibility purposes. In general terms, for every dollar a qualifying Partnership policy pays out in benefits, an equivalent amount of the policyholder's countable assets is protected and excluded from Medicaid's asset test if that person later applies. Partnership policies must meet specific state and federal standards under Florida law (F.S. § 409.9102) and be tax-qualified long-term care policies. Not every policy sold in Florida, and certainly not every policy sold in 2004, qualifies as a Partnership policy, so this is worth confirming directly with the carrier or an elder law attorney reviewing the actual policy documents.

Why This Matters for Herb and Judy If their 2004 policy turns out to qualify under the Partnership Program, keeping it, or a reduced version of it, in force could protect additional assets from Medicaid's asset limits later, on top of whatever care costs it directly pays. That single fact could tip the keep-versus-lapse decision.

Where Hybrid Life/LTC Policies Fit In

For families who haven't yet bought long-term care coverage, or who are dropping an old policy and want some kind of insurance replacement, hybrid life insurance with a long-term care rider has become a common alternative as traditional standalone LTC policies have grown more expensive and harder to find. A hybrid policy pairs a permanent life insurance death benefit with a long-term care benefit. If care is needed, the policyholder draws against the death benefit while living. If care is never needed, the beneficiaries still receive a payout.

This structure appeals to families worried about paying decades of premiums into a standalone LTC policy and never using it. It isn't automatically better or worse than a traditional policy or Medicaid planning. It's simply another tool, and for a couple like Herb and Judy evaluating a lapsing 2004 policy, it may be worth comparing against a Medicaid-planning-only approach when they meet with their financial advisor and attorney.

Frequently Asked Questions

Can Herb and Judy still buy a new long-term care policy if they drop the old one?
It depends entirely on current health. Long-term care underwriting has tightened significantly, and a couple in their early seventies with any notable health history may find new coverage expensive or unavailable, which is exactly why the reduce-benefit option deserves serious consideration before lapsing outright.
Does dropping a long-term care policy trigger Florida Medicaid's five-year lookback penalty?
No. Letting a policy lapse is not a transfer of assets and does not by itself trigger a lookback penalty. The lookback concerns gifts or transfers of assets for less than fair value, which is a separate issue from insurance decisions.
How do I know if our old policy qualifies for the Florida Long-Term Care Partnership Program?
Not all policies sold in Florida qualify, and older policies from the early 2000s may predate the program's standards. The policy documents or the insurance carrier can confirm Partnership status, and an elder law attorney can help interpret what that means for Medicaid planning.
If we reduce our benefit instead of paying the full increase, will it still be enough to matter?
Often yes, especially if the reduced benefit still covers a meaningful portion of home care or assisted living costs during the years before nursing-home-level care is needed. The point of the reduced option is to preserve real value at an affordable premium rather than keep an unaffordable policy or drop coverage entirely.
Should we start Medicaid planning even if we decide to keep the policy?
In my practice, yes. Insurance and Medicaid planning work best as a coordinated strategy rather than an either-or choice, and having a Medicaid plan in place means the family is prepared regardless of how long the policy's benefits actually last.

The Truestead Takeaway

Herb and Judy's situation, like that of many Florida families I work with, isn't really a question with one right answer sitting in a statute book. It's a question of matching their health, their finances, and their policy's actual terms, elimination period, benefit cap, and possible Partnership Program status, against what they want their next fifteen or twenty years to look like. Whether they keep the policy, reduce the benefit, or let it lapse in favor of Medicaid planning, the smartest move is doing it deliberately, with the actual policy documents and a full asset picture in hand, rather than reacting to a scary number in the mail. If you're facing a similar renewal notice, it's worth having both the policy and your broader estate plan reviewed together by a Florida elder law attorney before you decide.

Sources

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This article is for general informational purposes only and does not constitute legal advice, nor does reading it create an attorney-client relationship. Florida estate, elder, probate, and real estate law are fact-specific and change over time. Consult a licensed Florida attorney about your individual circumstances. Arthur Simpson, Esq. is licensed to practice law in the State of Florida. Attorney advertising.

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